East Coast VIC Surf Forecasts

Ben Macartney

Ben Macartney 's Regional Outlook

Updated 18 Jan 2021 @ 5:17 PM (local)
info

The surf heights forecasted for East Coast VIC

Please consider your local spots specific orientation to the coast and any local idiosyncrasies that may also effect the swell in relation to this regional forecast.

  • Swell analysis

    Short-Term Analysis (through Wednesday 20 January)

    Tuesday: Larger, reinforcing SSW groundswell kicks in size, up to a solid double-overhead plus across the exposed coasts and not too different across the Torquay reefs – but largely laid to waste state-wide as fresh onshore southerly quarter winds throughout the day.

    Wednesday: Trailing SSW groundswell eases throughout the day, as moderate onshore SE winds ease, making for slightly improved onshore conditions in the morning, before deteriorating once more as they freshen again in the arvo.

     

    Long-Term Analysis (Thursday 21 January and beyond)

    The slow-movement of the high is likely to see it positioned just below the Bight this week as a large and complex area of low pressure intensifies southeast of Tasmania. The upshot is potential for a rejuvenated SW to Southerly airflow in place throughout Monday 18 and Tuesday 19. It won’t be until Wednesday that we may see conditions rapidly improving across the exposed beaches as lighter SE to NE winds develop, following the high’s continued eastward movement over Tasmania and Bass Strait. That speculatively leading in a full day of NE to N winds across the state on Thursday 21st, at this stage coinciding with much lower levels of SSW swell, favouring the exposed beaches for clean, user-friendly conditions. Stay tuned for updates as the week progresses.

     

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2 - 3 ft+ - SSE winds @ 10 knots Cloudy. 19.2°C, water 23°C

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