WEEKEND SURF FORECAST, 2 - 4 November, 2012

1 Nov 2012 0 Share

This is not at a south facing break with north-east winds, but it's not bad huh?

This is not at a south facing break with north-east winds, but it's not bad huh?

Dialling In, Thursday, 1 November 2012

Depending on where you live it’s either good news or bad news this weekend. Starting on a positive note the NSW coast lights up under influence of a strong S groundswell, coupled with warm north-easterly winds – a typical Spring wind/ swell combination ideally suited to handful of high quality breaks across the region. The news is also good for Victorian surfers. The region benefits from a favourable combination of mid range SW swell and relatively light SE to NE winds to produce reasonably good surf across all coasts throughout the weekend.

The worst of the bad news is reserved for the West Coast. The Sandgropers are generally pretty spoilt for waves, being accustomed to regular bouts of strong SW groundswells and offshore winds. This weekend, however, is the complete antithesis. Strong onshore W to NW winds combine with very low levels of SW swell and short range westerly windswell to produce a forgettable weekend of waves across the region.

NSW: A new swell is all the sweeter after a week of tiny waves. That’s exactly what we can look forward to this weekend – a thumping south groundswell that should produce good, if not excellent conditions at the right locations. An initial spike in S windswell on Friday is reinforced by a long period pulse of groundswell on Saturday; starting out at fairly user friendly levels early before kicking in at size during the afternoon. The tail end of the swell should hang in at good size throughout Sunday and both days will see moderate north-easterlies lending the focus to true south facing breaks across the region.

Summary

Friday
S windswell 4 – 5ft south facing beaches, grading to 2 – 4ft open beaches depending on exposure. Easing during the afternoon WIND: Early SSW 15 to 25 knots tending S during the morning and SSE 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
Leftover S windswell reinforced by new S groundswell, 3 – 4ft south facing coasts early, building to 4 – 6ft during the afternoon. Grading to 2 - 4ft open coasts depending on exposure. WIND: Early SE to NE 5 to 10 knots tending NE 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
S groundswell 3 – 4ft south facing beaches early, easing during the day. Grading smaller elsewhere depending on exposure. WIND: NNW 5 to 15 knots early, tending NNE 10 to 15 knots during the morning and increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW It’s a bit of a mix of good and bad across the region this weekend – mostly depending on what side of the border you reside. The straight southerly swell direction won’t be doing any favours across south-eastern Queensland – limiting wave heights to about one to two feet – perhaps up to two to three max at the most exposed beaches like Duranbah. Far northern NSW fares better; receiving a far more substantial portion of the S swell across the most exposed beaches. Winds won’t be ideal, but they won’t be overly strong either; starting out light to moderate SSE on Saturday morning before easing to lighter SE to NE during the day.

Sunday is shaping up as the pick of the weekend. A stronger round of S groundswell will steadily build in size during the day, combining with light to moderate NNE to produce good conditions at sheltered northern corners and northern NSW back beaches.

Summary

Friday
S windswell building from 2ft across northern NSW early to 3 – 4ft during the afternoon. Up to 1 – 2ft across south-east QLD later. WIND: Early NNW 5 to 15 knots, ahead of a strong SSE change 15 to 25 knots during the day.

Saturday
SSE swell 2 – 3ft+ northern NSW south facing coasts. Around 1 – 2ft+across south-east QLD. WIND: SSE 10 to 15 knots, easing to light SE to NE during the afternoon.

Sunday
S groundswell 3 – 4ft northern NSW south facing coasts, grading to 2 – 3ft open beaches and to 1 – 2ft+ south-east QLD. Increasing during the afternoon. WIND: Early light winds tending NE 5 to 15 knots.

Victoria: If you’re not completely averse to onshore winds then you might have some fun across the Surf Coast this weekend. A steady run of SSW swell should see wave heights ranging from two to four feet across the region, with most size present on Saturday. Although winds are predominantly SE to NE, they are likely to remain very light throughout Saturday; only five to fifteen knots – so it could be well worth the drive (or walk, for the lucky minority) to get amongst it.

The exposed beaches will also fare pretty well, but on Saturday the swell might still be a bit too chunky for many locations. Sunday looks like the go. Moderating SW swell should level off around three to four feet under light north-easterly winds blowing all morning, before turning ESE during the afternoon.

Summary

Friday
New SSW groundswell 3 – 4ft exposed beaches early, building to 5 – 6ft during the afternoon. Increasing from 2 – 3ft across the Surf Coast towards Up to 3 - 4ft+ later. WIND: SW 10 to 20 knots.

Saturday
SSW swell 4 - 5ft+ across the exposed beaches. Grading to 3 - 4ft across the Surf Coast. Easing during the day. WIND: Early SE to NE 5 to 15 knots tending light ENE later.

Sunday
SSW swell 3 - 4ft exposed beaches, grading to 2 – 3ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early light and variable tending ENE to ESE 5 to 15 knots during the afternoon.


Western Australia: It's not shaping up as a great weekend for surfing across the West Coast. A strong cold front approaching the coast on Saturday sees north-westerly winds increasing in strength, blowing out conditions all day. Sunday sees straighter westerlies continuing to make a mess of it, so it may well be worth looking for some alternative amusement this weekend.

Summary;

Friday
SW swell goes small
Southwest Coast: 1-2ft
Perth: flat
WIND: Early variable NE to SE tending SSW early, then WSW 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
NNW wind shift with slow building NW wind-waves
Southwest Coast: 2ft windswell showing on open breaks
Perth: flat early, 1ft + wind-waves forming late
WIND: Early WNW turning NNW 15 to 25 knots.


Sunday
Increasing W swell, short period with onshores
Southwest Coast: 3-4ft+ windswell
Perth: 2-3ft+, crossed up wind-waves
WIND: WNW winds 10-20 knots

Tags: FORECAST , NSW , QLD , VIC , Surf , Weekend , Swell (create Alert from these tags)

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