WEEKEND SURF FORECAST, 1 - 3 February 2013

31 Jan 2013 0 Share

Opportunities for these kind of conditions will be short lived, following the arrival of a robust southerly change across the NSW coast on Friday. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Gregoryator.

Opportunities for these kind of conditions will be short lived, following the arrival of a robust southerly change across the NSW coast on Friday. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Gregoryator.

Dialling In, Thursday, 31 January 2013

They say when it rains, it pours; an idiom definitely applicable to the extreme weather – both the recent deluge across the Eastern Seaboard – and the drought affecting the south-east of the continent. The saying is also relevant to the East Coast swell forecast. The region is in the midst of a glut of easterly swell that will persist at solid levels over the coming days; gradually subsiding over the weekend and still hanging in at lower levels early to mid next week.

Only the most sheltered southern corners will be offering reasonable surface quality across the NSW coast this weekend. Photo: Gregoryator.

Only the most sheltered southern corners will be offering reasonable surface quality across the NSW coast this weekend. Photo: Gregoryator.

NSW:

There’s swell stacked, literally, to the horizon and beyond over the next few days; compliments of a static low pressure system south of Fiji and a large high pressure system over New Zealand. A slow easing trend in ENE swell coincides with a strong southerly winds this weekend, owing a vigorous cold front arriving across Sydney and surrounds mid Friday morning. An associated low pressure system developing off the South Coast generates an additional increase in S swell by Saturday that will mix in with the pre-existing E swell at solid levels across exposed open and south facing beaches. Head for sheltered southern corners and north facing coasts for the cleanest surfable options.

Friday
E swell 5 – 6ft+ exposed open coasts, easing during the day. WIND: Early light NNW shifting S 15 to 20 knots during the day.

Saturday
Mix of E swell 3 – 5ft exposed open beaches. Steep increase in S swell to 4 – 6ft possible across south facing beaches during the day. WIND: S 20 to 35 knots.

Sunday
Mix of E swell 3 – 4ft open beaches, mixing in with S swell at similar levels across south facing beaches. WIND: Early S 15 to 20 knots tending SSE 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

There should be a few windows forclean conditions across the region over the next few days. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member soulingdude68.

There should be a few windows forclean conditions across the region over the next few days. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member soulingdude68.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW

Conditions should further improve under a weak ridge extending across the region; setting up a lighter northerly wind regime this weekend. This should see relatively clean E swell ranging from three to five feet across exposed beaches on Saturday, dropping another notch overnight. A strong SSE change on Sunday morning will transform conditions across the Points and Bays, producing a great day of more accessible two to four foot surf all day.

Friday
E swell 4 – 6ft exposed open coasts, grading smaller inside the Points and Bays. Gradually easing during the day. WIND: Early light NW to NE tending NNE 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
E swell 4ft+ exposed open beaches, gradually easing. WIND: WNW 10 to 15 knots ahead of a SSE change during the afternoon/ evening.

Sunday
E swell 3 – 4ft exposed open beaches, easing during the day. WIND: SSW 10 to 20 knots tending S during the morning, then turning SSE into the afternoon.

Victoria


There’s no shortage of SW across the Victorian coasts this weekend; a long range SSW groundswell that should sustain large surf across the exposed beaches on Friday before gradually subsiding over the weekend. The Surf Coast sees good rideable surf over the coming days, albeit a little wind affected. A strong SSW flow remains strong throughout Friday before gradually easing in strength over the weekend.

Friday
SSW groundswell 6 - 8ft+ exposed beaches. Grading to 4 - 5ft+ across the Surf Coast, easing later. WIND: SSW 15 to 20 knots.

Saturday
SSW groundswell 5 - 6ft+ exposed beaches early, grading to 3 - 4ft across the Surf Coast. Easing during the day. WIND: SSW 10 to 15 knots.

Sunday
SSW swell 4 – 5ft exposed beaches, grading to 2 – 3ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early W tending SW 10 to 20 knots during the day.

Western Australia:

There’s not a lot of wave action across the West Coast for most of the weekend; just residual traces of SW swell amounting to little more than a couple of feet across the region on Friday; fading to even lower levels by Saturday. During Sunday a small round of long range SW groundswell begins to materialise – pushing up some inconsistent sets in the three to four foot range during the afternoon.

Friday
S swell easing.
Southwest Coast: 2 to 3ft more south exposed breaks.
Perth: 0 to 1ft.
ESE winds 10kt tending light seabreeze.

Saturday
Small scale SW swell
Southwest Coast: 1 to 2ft
Perth: flat
ESE winds 10 knots, tending to afternoon seabreeze

Sunday
Small SW swell
Southwest Coast: New SW groundswell building from 2 – 3ft exposed coasts early towards 3 – 4ft+ during the afternoon.

Perth: flat-1ft.
ESE winds 5-10kt, tending to afternoon seabreeze

South Australia


A building trend in SW swell sees wind-affected two to four foot surf Down South over the weekend, with conditions gradually improving as southerly winds ease in strength, following a high pressure system setting up over the Great Australian Bight.



Friday
SW swell 2 - 3ft South Coast, building to 3 – 4ft during the afternoon. Grading to 0.5 – 1ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: S 15 to 25 knots, easing during the afternoon.

Saturday
SW swell 2 – 4ft across the South Coast, grading to 1 – 2ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: S 10 to 20 knots.

Sunday
SW swell 3 - 4ft across the South Coast. Grading to 1 – 2ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: Light SSW to SSE 5 to 15 knots.


 

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