WEEKEND SURF FORECAST: September 7 - 9, 2012
Dialling In Thursday, 6 September 2012
It’s going to be a busy couple of days of surfing just about everywhere you look this weekend. Most of Australia’s surfable coastline should come to life in one form or another, and many regions will see some of the best conditions seen for some time.
There are waves on the way across the entire NSW coast this weekend, but in the first instance we’ll have to be patient: Thursday’s honking west north-westerlies are likely to erode the tiny north-east windswell to virtually flat by Friday morning (if it’s not already).
Winds shift strong WSW on Saturday, marking the start of a late wintery blast of S swell that will gradually pick up during the day. However, the developing swell carries a strong south-westerly directional bias at its inception, so expect big variances in wave heights early on Saturday depending on location.
Expect a virtually flat South Coast, grading to two feet across Sydney at first light on Saturday, and up to three feet or so across Newcastle and the Hunter coast. A steady increase in S swell follows during throughout the day, going from two to three feet (across Sydney) to three to four into the afternoon. This episode peaks on Sunday at substantial levels across exposed beaches – (up to four to six feet depending on location) ahead of a gradual easing trend setting in throughout Sunday.
Early clean conditions, tiny surf. NE windswell 0.5 - 1ft+ exposed beaches. WIND: WSW 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Clean conditions with a building S swell; around 2ft early, building to 2 – 3ft mid morning and up to 3 – 4ft south facing beaches during the late afternoon. WIND: WSW 15 to 25 knots.
Strong S swell with early clean conditions. 4 – 6ft south facing beaches, grading to 3 – 4ft open beaches. Up to 5 – 8ft across Newcastle and the Central Coast. WIND: WSW 10 to 15 knots tending S to SE 5 to 10 knots during the afternoon.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
The looming S swell isn’t expected to arrive across northern NSW coasts until Sunday, so in the meantime it’s a case of more swimming, paddle boarding, or just straight up thumb twiddling until the swell arrives. Being acutely S in direction, the developing swell will only really show with any notable size south of the border; picking up from low levels early Sunday to a stronger four feet plus into the middle of the day or early afternoon. The swell exhibits strong peak intervals of 14 to 15 seconds, and this should see a fraction of this energy pushing in north of the border – probably reaching two to three feet at the right locations as the tide pushes in from mid morning and early afternoon.
ENE swell 0.5 - 1ft+ exposed beaches. WIND: NNW 15 to 25 knots.
Residual ENE swell 0.5 – 1ft. Minor rise in S windswell to 1 - 2ft across northern NSW south facing beaches during the afternoon. WIND: WSW 10 to 15 knots, tending light and variable during the afternoon.
S swell 3 – 4ft most exposed northern NSW south facing beaches, building to 4 – 6ft during the afternoon. Grading to 3 – 4ft+ open beaches and wrapping into south-east QLD at 2 – 4ft with size depending on location. WIND: Early SSW 10 to 15 knots. Tending ESE during the day.
There will be no shortage of swell across all Victorian coasts this weekend, but it won’t coincide with the kind of conditions that leave you feeling warm and fuzzy. In fact, it will be quite the opposite: Windy and cold, and probably better described as ‘victory at sea’ across the exposed beaches. The Surf Coast will fare the best, but conditions won’t be ideal here either; with strong WSW winds and large SW groundswell producing raw, wind affected conditions across the region – particularly between late Friday early Saturday.
WSW swell. 1 to 4ft Surf Coast (size more likely in the lower end of the spectrum), 6ft+ open beaches. Potential for a solid increase in size overnight into Saturday. W to WSW winds 30+ knots.
SW storm swell. 5 to 6ft+ Surf Coast, 8 - 10ft+ open beaches. Swell peaking later in the day. SW winds 15 to 30 knots.
SW storm swell. 4 - 5ft+ Surf Coast early, 6 - 8ft+ open beaches. Easing off through the day. WSW winds 5 to 15 knots.
There’ s finally some light at the end of the stormy eight to ten foot tunnel across the South-west coast. The region has seen consecutive days of heavy WSW swell through the first week of September, and it’s only just beginning to settle down to more accessible levels across the region – and this should culminate in a couple of excellent of small to mid range days of surf Down South over the weekend.
The abating swell cleans up into the end of the week as a high pressure system builds in across the region, setting up light easterly winds that will iron out any residual sea state throughout Friday. The high maintains early light ENE winds tending N across the region throughout Saturday and Sunday, so get in early on both days for the best of it.
Settling and fading SW swell
Southwest Coast: 4-6ft+ easing 3-4ft during the day.
Perth: 2ft dropping off 1ft
WIND: Early SE 5- 15 knots tending E during the morning.
Easing SW groundswell mixing with background swell.
Southwest Coast: 3-4ft with the odd larger set across exposed coasts
WIND: ENE winds 10-15 knots tending light N during the day.
Southwest Coast: 2-4ft sets
WIND: ENE winds 10-15kt tending N later.
Southern coasts will feel the full brunt of an oversized Southern Ocean groundswell this weekend. A long period SSW swell rises to solid levels across the South Coast during Saturday afternoon and holds plenty of size throughout Sunday. Conditions won’t be ideal in the first instance: A strong WSW flow extends across the coast throughout Saturday, adding plenty of chop into the equation. Winds are set to shift light WNW as a high builds across the state on Sunday, opening up plenty of rideable options down south throughout the day.
Friday SW groundswell. South Coast 3 – 4ft. Mid Coast: 1 – 2ft. WIND: WSW 20 to 30 knots.
Saturday Strong SSW groundswell 3 – 5ft early, building to 4 to 8ft South Coast during the afternoon. Up to 2 - 3ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: SW 15 to 25 knots, easing during in the evening.
Sunday Easing SSW groundswell 3 – 5ft South Coast. 1 - 2ft+ across the Mid Coast. WIND: WNW 10 to 15knots.
Bring on autumn.
There's more late summer goodness in the forecast this weekend.
There's a wave with your name on it this weekend.
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