WEEKEND SURF FORECAST, 28 - 30 September, 2012

27 Sep 2012 0 Share

The Southern Ocean is alive with swell this weekend; aiming a solid round of easing SW groundswell up the West Coast and a large WSW swell at South Australia, Victoria and Tasmania.

The Southern Ocean is alive with swell this weekend; aiming a solid round of easing SW groundswell up the West Coast and a large WSW swell at South Australia, Victoria and Tasmania.

Dialling In Thursday, 27 September 2012

There are some excellent windows of surfing opportunity across all states this weekend. While the entire East Coast benefits from a consistent, short range NE windswell in the two to four foot range on Saturday, the rest of the continent falls under the influence of a deep Southern Ocean low that intensified beneath Western Australia over the last few days, generating heavy SW swell for the West Coast, and equally large WSW groundswell across South Australia and Victoria.

As far as deep low pressure systems go, this one was a monster: bombing beneath Western Australia on Tuesday and sending large groundswell all directions north and east.

As far as deep low pressure systems go, this one was a monster: bombing beneath Western Australia on Tuesday and sending large groundswell all directions north and east.

Western Australia

A strong SW groundswell emanating from the low was already peaking across the state on Thursday and a gradual easing trend in wave energy follows over the next few days. Conditions gradually begin to clean up as winds drop away to light and variable on Friday, so although light onshore winds are expected to prevail on Saturday, there should be good conditions on offer while winds remain light during the morning. The swell drops to more accessible levels by Sunday as winds swing light offshore overnight and there should be good wave on offer as winds fall away to light and variable into the afternoon.

Summary

Friday SW groundswell eases off gradually Southwest Coast: 6 - 8ft, decreasing fast 4 - 6ft through arvo Perth: 2-3ft fading WIND: Light SW 5 to 15 knots tending variable to light during the day

Saturday Fading SW swell, improved conditions Southwest Coast: 4 - 5ft, decreasing Perth: 2ft WIND: Early light WNW tending NW 5 to 15 knots during the day.

Sunday Decreased SW swell settles Southwest Coast: 3 - 4ft Perth: 1ft WIND: Early ENE tending light and variable.

The NSW coast isn't a bad place to be on Saturday as a fun sized NE windswell combines with W winds.

The NSW coast isn't a bad place to be on Saturday as a fun sized NE windswell combines with W winds.

NSW and QLD.

There’s a young bloke who works in the office here called Al – great surfer, but he rarely goes surfing when the swell is out of the south – which is most of the time. But as soon as the swell turns north-east, his local turns it on and he turns into a surfaholic. If you’re like Al, then you’ll be pleased to hear a building round of NE windswell peaks across the NSW coast during Friday and Saturday, producing great conditions across most of the NSW coast’s open beaches and even some small wind waves across south-eastern Queensland.

When the swell turns NE and the winds swing W, linups like this are a dime a dozen across the NSW coast.

When the swell turns NE and the winds swing W, linups like this are a dime a dozen across the NSW coast.

NSW summary

Friday
NE windswell up to 2 – 4ft most exposed open beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early N 15 to 25 knots shifting NNE during the day.

Saturday
NE windswell around 2 - 4ft across open coasts, easing during the day. Early clean conditions deteriorating during the afternoon. WIND: W 10 to 20 knots tending WSW during the late afternoon.

Sunday
Short range S swell up to 2 – 3ft south facing coasts, probably undersized early. Mixing in with underlying ENE swell 2ft exposed open beaches. Early clean conditions deteriorating later. WIND: W 10 to 15 knots tending light SE during the afternoon.

Monday
S swell around 2 – 3ft south facing beaches, mixing in with leftover ENE swell at low levels across open beaches. WIND: Early WNW 5 to 10 knots, tending SE 10 knots during the afternoon.

Summary: QLD and Far Northern NSW

Friday
ESE swell 1 – 2ft exposed beaches. WIND: Early NW 5 to 15 knots tending NNE 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
E swell around 1 - 2ft exposed beaches. WIND: Early NW 15 to 20 knots tending NNE during the afternoon.

Sunday
E swell up to 1 – 2ft across south-east QLD, SSE windswell bumping up during the afternoon. WIND: Early light SW shifting SSE 10 to 15 knots during the morning, then SE during the afternoon.

Monday
ESE windswell 2 – 3ft across south-east QLD. Mixing in with new S swell at similar levels across northern NSW beaches. WIND: SE 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the day.

We might be in the middle of Spring, but there will be a distinctive winter feel to conditions this long weekend.

We might be in the middle of Spring, but there will be a distinctive winter feel to conditions this long weekend.

Victoria

A strong building trend in WSW groundswell sets in across the region on Friday and comes to a head over the weekend. The end result for the exposed beaches is several days of heavy, windblown surf and as usual the Surf Coast will be the primary beneficiary of this episode.

Initially the strong, westerly oriented groundswell will produce sporadic surf across the Surf Coast on Friday and early Saturday, and conditions are likely to be blown out by a strong WSW change kicking in at 30 to 40 knots during Saturday afternoon.  Set wave frequency and size should become more constant as the swell direction transitions around to the south-west on Sunday.

Summary


Friday
Strong WSW groundswell 6 – 8ft exposed beaches early, increasing to 8ft+ during the afternoon. Inconsistent 2 – 3ft across the Surf Coast early, increasing to 3 – 4ft later. WIND: Early NNW 15 to 25 knots shifting WNW during the afternoon.

Saturday
WSW swell 8ft+ across the exposed beaches early, easing during the afternoon. Grading to 3 – 4ft across the Surf Coast, building to 4 – 5ft during the day. WIND: W 15 to 25 knots tending WSW 20 to 40 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
SW swell up to 5 – 6ft+ exposed beaches, grading to 3 – 5ft across the Surf Coast. Easing during the day. WIND: WNW 10 to 20 knots tending SW 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.


Monday
Easing SW swell 4 - 5ft exposed beaches, grading to 2 – 3ft+ across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early W 10 to 15 knots, shifting SSW during the day.

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