WEEKEND SURF FORECAST, 1 - 2 December, 2012

29 Nov 2012 0 Share

The Wave Tracker depicts significant wave height on Friday morning, showing acutely directional SSW swell inbound across the West Coast and straight W swell aimed at southern coasts - both swells fuelled by an intense low pressure system over the Great Australian Bight.

The Wave Tracker depicts significant wave height on Friday morning, showing acutely directional SSW swell inbound across the West Coast and straight W swell aimed at southern coasts - both swells fuelled by an intense low pressure system over the Great Australian Bight.

Dialling In

While surfing conditions virtually always differ dramatically across the vast Australian coastlines, there’s a common thread to conditions this weekend. All the major surfable coastlines experience acutely directional surf; oblique swell trains ranging from extreme S across the West Australian coast, to straight W across South Australian and Victorian coasts, and NNE across the East Coast. Apart from that conditions are different to extremes; the majority, including the West Coast, South Australia and Victoria fall under the influence of a gargantuan extratropical storm currently reaching peak intensity beneath the west of the continent.

A few little nuggets like this should be on offer at the right locations on Saturday.

A few little nuggets like this should be on offer at the right locations on Saturday.

NSW:

There will be waves across the NSW coast this weekend – not big ones, nor particularly powerful ones, but waves never the less.  A building round of short range NE windswell throughout Friday afternoon should hang in at a fun size across open beaches on Saturday morning; up to two to three feet across select beaches fully exposed to the NE direction, grading to one to two feet across the majority of locations.

Although NE windswell will still be running at lower levels on Sunday morning, it will be eroded from the outset by a strong southerly change arriving during the early hours, so head for sheltered southern corners and north facing breaks for the best conditions. A minor increase in SSE windswell follows throughout Sunday afternoon. While this probably won’t amount to more than a couple of feet across south facing beaches, it will be a precursor to a more substantial increase in S swell into the middle of next week.

Friday
ESE swell up to 1 - 2ft most exposed open beaches, NE windswell increasing to 1 – 2ft+ most exposed open beaches during the afternoon. Grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early N 5 – 10 knots tending NNE 10 to 15 knots and increasing to 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
NE windswell 1 – 2ft+ most exposed open beaches, grading to 1 – 2ft elsewhere. Increasing towards 2 – 3ft during the afternoon. WIND: Early light NNW tending NNE 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
NE windswell 1 – 2ft+ most exposed beaches, grading to 1 - 2ft max elsewhere. SSE windswell increasing to 1 – 2ft+ south facing beaches during the day. WIND: Early S 15 to 20 knots tending SE 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW

It’s hard to put a positive spin on surfing conditions across the region this weekend. Expect the bare minimum of residual easterly swell, mostly hovering around one foot mark across exposed coasts, both on Saturday and Sunday. Locations from Coffs Harbour south will fare better, with NE windswell running at slightly larger levels – around one to two feet across exposed beaches on Saturday, and slightly bigger than two feet on Sunday.

Friday
Residual ENE and SE swell 1ft+ exposed coasts, NE windswell increasing during the afternoon. WIND: Light NNW 5 to 15 knots tending NNE 10 to 15 knots during the day.

Saturday
NE windswell 1ft exposed QLD coasts, grading to 1 – 2ft across northern NSW. WIND: Early NNW 5 to 10 knots, tending NNE 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
NE windswell up to 1 – 2ft exposed coasts, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early NNW tending NNE 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Source: BOM. A huge low situated beneath Western Australia sets up a heavy W swell for South Australian and Victorian coasts this weekend.

Source: BOM. A huge low situated beneath Western Australia sets up a heavy W swell for South Australian and Victorian coasts this weekend.

Victoria

Victorian is a state of extremes this weekend. A heavy W swell filling in on Saturday will produce disparate wave heights across the region, ranging from a thumping eight feet across exposed beaches to a user friendly two to three feet across the Surf Coast. The source of this episode is an intense extratropical low currently situated deep beneath Western Australia, aiming a broad, gale force WNW fetch across the far north-west fringes of our swell window.

Although deepwater swell direction swings around the WSW on Sunday, it will still be too acutely west to have a major impact on the Surf Coast – probably generating slightly larger two to four foot surf across the region under moderate to strong W to SW winds.

Friday
Residual WSW swell 2 – 3ft exposed beaches. Around 1ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early WSW 10 to 20 knots tending light and variable during the day, then light SE during the afternoon.

Saturday
W groundswell 4 – 6ft early, building to 6 – 8ft across exposed beaches. Up to 2 - 3ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: Early light and variable tending WSW 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
SW swell 6 - 8ft exposed beaches. 3 – 4ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: SW 10 to 15 knots.

Western Australia

Not unlike last week, the West Coast stands head and shoulders above the rest of the continent – both in terms of wave height and quality. Thursday’s huge spike in WSW storm swell will steadily abate throughout the weekend; still generating solid six to ten foot surf across exposed South-west coast reefs on Saturday morning, with early light SSE winds seeing reasonably clean conditions across the region.

The abating swell also coincides with a strong shift in swell direction to the south that will steadily dilute the swell’s impact during Saturday. Initially SSW swell continues to arrive at an acute angle of around 200 degrees, but it will further shift to 180 degrees during the afternoon – steep enough to cut off west facing coasts from much of this energy – particularly inside the points and bays. Although the directional energy will continue to constrain wave heights throughout Sunday, conditions will be clean throughout the morning under light ESE winds, tending moderate S to SW during the day.


Friday
SW groundswell rising strong through arvo
Southwest Coast: 4-6ft sets rising 8-10ft+ late
Perth: inconsistent 2ft picking up 3ft late
WIND: variable light S wind 5 knots rising SW 10-15 knots

Saturday
Long period SW groundswell
Southwest Coast: 6-8ft with larger sets early,
Perth: 2-3ft
WIND: variable SE wind early, tending SW in arvo 10 knots

Sunday
SW groundswell decreased
Southwest Coast: 4-6ft fading in arvo
Perth: 2ft easing
WIND: SE wind 5 knots early, tending SW seabreezes.

Tags: Forecast , Swell , Victoria , Surf (create Alert from these tags)

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