WEEKEND SURF FORECAST, 19 - 21 July 2013

18 Jul 2013 0 Share

Forecast issued 18 July 2013, by Ben Macartney

Australia is a big place. If you’ve ever flown across the east to west length of the continent, say from Sydney to Perth (A distance of about 4,000 kilometres), you start to get an idea of the vast, uninhabited expanse below you and how easy it is to die of thirst in the outback. So, what does this have to do with the weekend forecast? The point is that unlike smaller countries like Belgium or the Maldives, Australia is large enough to ensure most states are on any give day, subject to unique weather systems – a feature that definitely applies to the weekend outlook – and that if you want to capitalise on greener surfing pastures further afield, you’ll probably have to catch a plane.

The Surf Coast will be cranking this weekend. Image: Judy Scanlon.

The Surf Coast will be cranking this weekend. Image: Judy Scanlon.

NSW
This week’s unseasonably warm series of July days culminates in a very summer-esque increase in NE windswell on Friday; Although only short in period (significant intervals of seven to eight seconds) and quite angular in direction (arriving out of the 60 degree band), this energy should top out at a peaky two to an inconsistent three feet across the most exposed beaches on Friday, while only penetrating less exposed breaks like Bondi and Cronulla at a smaller one to two feet. Although this fleeting round of windswell begins to dissipate on Saturday, it’s reinforced by some mid period NE swell emanating from a broad ridge spanning the northern Tasman Sea – strong enough to maintain one to two foot surf across the region all weekend. Although recent forecasts anticipated an increase in S swell on Sunday, this now appears likely to get underway from Monday onwards.

A small NE windswell should see a few fun moments across the NSW coast this weekend. Image: Coastwalwatch Plus member Sprucey.

A small NE windswell should see a few fun moments across the NSW coast this weekend. Image: Coastwalwatch Plus member Sprucey.

Friday
NE windswell up to 2 – 3ft max Sydney’s most exposed open beaches, grading to 1 – 2ft across Cronulla and up to 2 – 4ft across the Far South Coast. WIND: Early NNW 10 to 20 knots tending N during the day.

Saturday
NE swell up to 2ft+ most exposed open beaches, grading to 1 – 2ft elsewhere. WIND: NW 10 to 20 knots tending WNW during the afternoon.

Sunday
NE swell 1 – 2ft exposed beaches early, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: WNW 15 to 25 knots.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
The winter of 2013 will probably go down as unseasonably good across south-east Queensland. A fairly consistent run of low scale easterly swell continues over the coming days, following the gradual constriction of a broad high pressure ridge spanning the northern Tasman and southern Coral Seas this week. Although projected wave energy has been downgraded a notch over the last 24 hours, we’re still looking at a consistent run of two to three foot surf on Friday and Saturday that should peak around the three to four foot mark on Sunday and Monday. Although northerly winds will keep a lid on wave quality across the Points and Bays over the next two days, a WSW light to moderate WSW change pricipitates a rapid improvement in conditions on Sunday morning.

With north-west winds prevailing on Saturday it may be worth a look south of the border. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Dieseldog.

With north-west winds prevailing on Saturday it may be worth a look south of the border. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Dieseldog.

Friday
ENE swell 2 – 3ft most exposed coasts, increasing during the afternoon. Grading smaller inside the Points and Bays. WIND: Early light and variable to ENE tending NNE 10 to 15 knots.

Saturday
ENE swell 2 – 3ft exposed coasts grading smaller inside the Points and Bays. WIND: NW 10 to 15 knots.

Sunday
ENE swell up to 3ft+ exposed coasts, grading to 2 – 3ft inside the Points and Bays. WIND: WNW to WSW 10 to 15 knots.

Victoria
The slow eastward movement of a deep cut off low across our swell window on Friday and Saturday sets up a strong increase in mid period SSW swell this weekend. Although the passage of the low brings the head of this vast fetch to right to the fringes of western Bass Strait on Friday, the storm’s south-eastward movement should ensure winds remain WNW to W all weekend – possibly tending WSW later on Sunday. This favourable wind regime coupled with a strong southerly bias in swell direction of 200 to 225 degrees is a great recipe for surfing conditions around Torquay, so it’s well worth planning accordingly this weekend.

The Surf Coast returns to life with the arrival of a strong SSW swell this weekend. Image: Judy Scanlon.

The Surf Coast returns to life with the arrival of a strong SSW swell this weekend. Image: Judy Scanlon.

Friday
Rising WSW swell 2 - 3ft+ exposed beaches, increasing to 3 – 5ft during the late afternoon. Around 1 – 2ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: NNW 10 to 20 knots shifting strong WNW later.

Saturday
SSW swell 6 - 8ft+ exposed beaches, 4 – 6ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early NW tending light W during the afternoon.

Sunday
SSW swell 6 - 8ft+ across the exposed beaches, grading to 4 – 6ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early WNW 10 to 15 knots.

Western Australia:
It’s shaping up as a great weekend to be surfing across the South-west coast. The arrival of a solid SSW groundswell throughout Friday gradually tapers off over the weekend, maintaining clean four to six foot sets across the most exposed breaks under light east to north-easterly winds. The swell drops another notch by Sunday but winds remain resolutely E to NE all day.

There will be some clean bombs to be had across the more exposed South-west reefs on Saturday morning. Image: Dan Wyer.

There will be some clean bombs to be had across the more exposed South-west reefs on Saturday morning. Image: Dan Wyer.

Friday
SSW swell gradually rising.
Southwest coast: cleaned up 3-4ft sets rising towards 4 – 6ft later.
Perth: 1ft
SE winds 5-15kt

Saturday
SW groundswell
Southwest coast: 4 - 6ft
Perth: 1 - 2ft
E wind 10 - 15kt

Sunday
SW swell
Southwest coast: 3 - 5ft early, fading during the day.
Perth: Around 1ft
E wind 10 - 15kt

South Australia
A steep increase in SSW swell looms this weekend following the passage of a deep low pressure system across the Great Australian Bight this week. Expect strong four to six foot surf across the South Coast on Saturday and Sunday, heavily affected by strong SW winds on both days.

Friday
SW swell 4 – 6ft across the South Coast. Around 1 - 2ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: WNW 15 to 25 knots tending WSW later

Saturday
Large SSW swell 5 - 6ft across the South Coast. Grading to 1 - 3ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: SW 15 to 25 knots.

Sunday   
SSW swell up to 5 – 6ft across the South Coast, easing later. 1 - 3ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: SW 10 to 20 knots.

Tags: surf forecast , Bells Beach , snapper rocks , margaret river (create Alert from these tags)

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