WEEKEND SURF FORECAST, 2 - 4 August 2013

1 Aug 2013 0 Share

Forecast issued 1 August 2013, by Ben Macartney

All signs point towards the East Coast this weekend. An impending easterly groundswell is set to light up the entire length of the surf exposed East Coast; taking in locations from as far north as Noosa to as far south as Eden – and Tasmania to boot. The groundswell is being generated by a deep East Coast Low centred over the north-east Tasman Sea that commenced its life as an unseasonal tropical depression located south of New Caledonia on Tuesday. As for the remainder of the continent, Victoria’s Surf Coast sees reasonably good conditions as a large WSW swell wraps in under early WNW winds. The West Coast draws the short straw this weekend as a broad cold front drives a strengthening WNW airflow across the coast, leaving nowhere to hide from strong onshore conditions.

There is a lot of surfable coastline around Australia and a lot of it will be very surfable this weekend. Image: Steve Bradley.

There is a lot of surfable coastline around Australia and a lot of it will be very surfable this weekend. Image: Steve Bradley.

NSW
Swell is coming. Long lines of easterly groundswell stacked up beyond the horizon. As mentioned the source is a deep East Coast low tracking slowly south south-west over the northern Tasman Sea. The ECL combined with a South Pacific high to aim a gale force easterly fetch our way throughout Wednesday and the fetch extended further west within closer range of the East Coast by early Thursday. The bulk of the groundswell fills in overnight, peaking across south-eastern Queensland and northern NSW throughout Friday and gradually builds across Sydney and surrounds throughout the day; probably peaking late in the afternoon and holding good size throughout Saturday. At the same time a cold front moving west to east across southern NSW extends a moderate WSW airflow across the coast over the weekend, so just about every break predisposed to strong easterly swells will be pumping all weekend.

There should be plenty of nooks and crannies like this all weekend. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member J_mcmanus.

There should be plenty of nooks and crannies like this all weekend. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member J_mcmanus.

Friday
ENE groundswell up to 3 – 4ft+ most exposed open beaches early, rising to 4 – 6ft during the day and peaking around 5 – 8ft into the afternoon. Grading smaller across the Shire and the South Coast. WIND: WNW 5 to 15 knots, strengthening and tending NW during the afternoon.

Saturday
E groundswell 4 – 6ft most exposed open beaches early, grading smaller elsewhere and easing during the day. WIND: WSW 15 to 20 knots.

Sunday
ESE swell 2 – 3ft+ exposed beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: W 15 to 20 knots.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
I don’t live in south-eastern Queensland, but it isn’t it usually pretty subdued up there, wave wise, in winter? A full week of unseasonal easterly tradewind swell culminates in a powerful round of ESE groundswell, peaking on Friday before gradually winding down over the weekend. This episode coincides with light to moderate SSW to WSW winds, producing excellent conditions along the Points and inside the Bays all weekend.

The southern Queensland coast will be cracking this weekend. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Soulingdude68.

The southern Queensland coast will be cracking this weekend. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Soulingdude68.

Friday
ESE groundswell 5 - 6ft+ most exposed coasts. Grading to 3 – 5ft inside the Points and Bays. WIND: SSW 5 to 15 knots tending light and variable, then light NNE during the afternoon.

Saturday
ESE groundswell 4 - 6ft most exposed coasts. Grading to 2 – 4ft inside the Points and Bays. Easing during the afternoon. WIND: WSW 5 to 15 knots tending variable later.

Sunday
ESE swell 3 – 4ft exposed beaches, grading smaller inside the Points and Bays. WIND: Early light WSW and light and variable later.

Victoria
Another deep winter low migrating below the continent this week sets up another extended run of groundswell across the state this weekend; gradually building in size across the Surf Coast as swell direction swings from WSW on Friday and Saturday to SW by Sunday. This episode coincides with a predominant north-westerly flow that’s set to shift west later Saturday and WSW during Sunday.

The Surf Coast will have it's moments this weekend, but probably not of this calibre. Image Judy Scanlon.

The Surf Coast will have it's moments this weekend, but probably not of this calibre. Image Judy Scanlon.

Friday
WSW swell 5 - 6ft exposed beaches. Up to 2 - 3ft across Surf Coast. WIND: NNW 15 to 20 knots, shifting WNW during the afternoon.

Saturday
WSW groundswell 6 - 8ft+ exposed beaches. Up to 3 – 4ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: NW 10 to 20 knots shifting W later.

Sunday
SW groundswell 8ft+ exposed beaches, 4 – 5ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early W tending WSW 10 to 20 knots.

Western Australia:
It’s not a great weekend to be surfing across the South-west coast. Although there’s no shortage of swell conditions will become increasingly blown out as NW winds increase in strength ahead of an approaching cold front. Friday and early Saturday should see lighter winds as high pressure remains dominant, but from there it’s all downhill.

Nope, none of this happening around here this weekend. Image: Dan Wyer.

Nope, none of this happening around here this weekend. Image: Dan Wyer.

Friday
Settling SW swell
Southwest coast: 4 - 5ft Perth: 1ft
Variable to light winds

Saturday
SW swell decreased, wind going northerly
Southwest coast: 3 - 4ft+
Perth: 1ft
N wind light early, increasing NW 10kt in arvo

Sunday
New SW groundswell 3 – 5ft early, rising to 4 – 6ft during the morning and up to 6 – 8ft+ into the afternoon. Perth: 1 – 2ft. WIND: WNW 15 to 25 knots.

South Australia
A steep increase in WSW swell looms this weekend following the passage of a deep low pressure system across the Great Australian Bight this week. Expect strong surf ranging from three to six feet surf across the South Coast depending on exposure, with a predominant westerly flow producing cross-shore conditions all weekend.

Friday
WSW swell 3 – 5ft across the South Coast. 1 - 3ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: Early WSW change 20 to 30 knots.

Saturday
WSW swell 4 – 5ft+ South Coast breaks. Grading to 1 - 2ft+ across the Mid Coast. WIND: WNW 10 to 20 knots.

Sunday
SW swell 4 – 5ft+ across the South Coast., gradually easing. Up to 1 - 2ft+ across the Mid Coast. WIND: W 10 to 15 knots.

Tags: surf forecast , ben macartney , East Coast Low (create Alert from these tags)

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